A theoretical return describes a model over many hands; a player's actual return describes a recorded set of wagers and awards. This archive topic puts the word estimating in focus, inviting care about which quantity is being calculated and which assumptions support it.

The wider question

A useful hand comparison starts with the exact variant and its complete payout schedule. A familiar game name is not enough to identify every rule. When reading a historical strategy discussion, keep its assumptions attached to the example; a different schedule or extra feature may call for a different comparison.

From the archive

This is an original editorial reading note on the topic of a Jerry Stickman column, not a reproduction of the full article. The date above belongs to the original publication. Read the linked column for the author’s complete account and conclusions.

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Estimating Video Poker Returns

Jerry Stickman · Mar 09, 2024

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