The chance of completing a royal depends on what is already held and what has been discarded. This archive discussion focuses on completion odds, making it useful to distinguish the probability of a specific next draw from the average frequency of royals across a strategy.
The wider question
A useful hand comparison starts with the exact variant and its complete payout schedule. A familiar game name is not enough to identify every rule. When reading a historical strategy discussion, keep its assumptions attached to the example; a different schedule or extra feature may call for a different comparison.
This is an original editorial reading note on the topic of a Jerry Stickman column, not a reproduction of the full article. The date above belongs to the original publication. Read the linked column for the author’s complete account and conclusions.
What are the odds of completing a royal flush?
Jerry Stickman · Aug 02, 2025
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